For the second, how much faith can we put in anything Goldman Sachs predicts? I don't doubt that WDW is going to see some bad attendance numbers this year, but I doubt that will be the case for DLR. Empirical evidence has pointed to a packed park so far this year, and I don't think that will change anytime soon.
Most of the 477 seem extremly minor and actually out of Disney's hands with trips, slips, etc. If that were the case, I might have some cases :)
Some of them are somewhat legitimate, like the incidents on rides, but most are just sheer idiocy.
Sidenote: Kudos to the Disney and Universal for potting the downward trend more than a year ago and reacting with discounts and aggressive promotions.
We will make it through.