I am thinking this was a big year for the Magic Kingdom and IOA. This is my prediction, but it could be wrong.
But here is something that puzzles me: The distance in rankings between IOA and USO and DL and DCA because they are within steps of each other and I have always gone to both for that reason. I guess you can say the same for WDW parks!
Europe(1) Disneyland Paris(2) Europapark(3) De Efteling (4) Tivoli(5) Liseberg(6) Gardaland(7) Port Aventura(8) Walt Disney Studios(9) Alton Towers(10) Phantasialand
Up & Coming?Challenging for top 10 Spots!!
#11 Busch Gardens Tampa Bay#12 Universal Studios Hollywood#13 Knotts Berry Farm Anaheim#14 Cedar Point Sandusky Ohio#15 Busch Gardens Williamsburg_________________________________________________Hopefull Stars of the future that will challenge in 2012!!!
LegoLand California (Keeps increasing its presence in SoCal)
Holiday World (The David that keeps chopping down all the Goliaths in terms of customer satisfaction & ride quality)
LegoLand Florida (Disney does have something to be concerned about with this addition...if Merlin entertainment does what it expects to do!!)
Orlando Thrill Park (if its built)
Six Flags Magic Mountain (Can it be restored to its prime: Green Lantern & Superman!!!)
While attendence at IOA will of increased significantly, I think attendence at all parks will have increased as those out of town visitors who have postponed visits to Orlando whilst awaiting the opening of Harry Potter, will have finally swung into town. THey will have visited multiple parks, including MK and Epcot
Universal has stated that attendance at IOA was up 36% in the previous quarter and year-to-date attendance at Universal Orlando was up 12%. Harry Potter only debuted in June, so you can write off any increase for the first five months of the year. In fact, attendance may have actually decreased as people patiently waited for the opening of Harry Potter.
For argument sake lets say that Islands of Adventure managed to increase attendance by 36% - an amazing feat!
If true, then the estimated attendance would roughly be 6.3 million, far short of Disney Animal Kingdom (9.59 million - 2009) and slightly less than Disney California Adventure that I predict will see attendance rise to 7.0 million (up 15%).
With a 36% increase, attendance at Disney's Animal Kingdom would need to drop 35% for IOA to exceed it. That's not going to happen.
The "Harry Potter effect" has only been for seven months and Universal has already stated that attendance overall is not up 36%. I predict that attendance at Islands of Adventure will be approximately 5.5 million (up 19%). Disney Parks in Orlando will be down about 1 to 3% each and SeaWorld will see the largest attendance drop in Orlando allowing for both Universal Parks to overtake it.
The Top 10 for 2010 should look relatively unchanged:
1. Magic Kingdom2. Disneyland3. EPCOT4. Disney Hollywood Studios5. Disney Animal Kingdom6. Disney California Adventure7. Universal's Islands of Adventure *up from #9*8. Universal Studios Florida9. SeaWorld Orlando *down from #7*10. Universal Studios Hollywood