As a former statistics major, I've always maintained a purely mathematical interest in odds and other tools used by the gaming industry to gauge public sentiment on whatever interests people who have money to burn.
Sports are the big subject for this stuff, but you can find futures markets in all types of subjects, including news events that ultimately influence the stock market and broader economy.
As a theme park fan and reporter covering this industry, I've long wished for a futures market that would assign odds to various hypotheticals in the theme park business. (But not enough to actually code up the thing. Plus, for a market really to work well, it would need people putting their money where their suspicions lie, and that gets into a whole bunch of legalities that I just don't have the time, patience, expertise, or on-staff legal team to address.)
So I'll just take the lazy way out and throw together a discussion thread instead. Here are some hypotheticals that I think are considered plausible enough among a significant number of fans for people to assign odds. I'm not going to do that myself, but I invite you to submit your odds for each event in the comments, along with whatever justification you feel like offering.
What are the odds that...
...Pandora - The World of Avatar soft opens to WDW guests before the AP previews on May 13.
...Universal Orlando postpones the media event and scheduled grand opening for Volcano Bay on May 25.
...Over/Under on Disney Twitter participants who flip and decide that Guardians of the Galaxy Mission Breakout is wonderful and they really loved the idea all along.
...Over/Under on the date that Disney caves and adds burgers and chicken fingers to the menu at Satu'li Canteen.
...There's nothing but a strobe light in the shed.
...SeaWorld opens or assists in opening an orca breeding program in China.
...Walt Disney World announces a "Club 33"-style private club within the next year.
...Super Nintendo World replaces the Woody Woodpecker KidZone at Universal Studios Florida, versus
...Super Nintendo World anchors a new Universal theme park on Universal Blvd. in Orlando.
...Universal replaces Fear Factor Live with a new Harry Potter ride before it replaces Dragon Challenge with a new Harry Potter ride.
...that Bob Iger extends his contract to run Disney beyond 2019 after all.
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